The values of a and x were constrained to a range of 0 – 1. To measure cross-prediction of composite

models between lineages, for each source lineage we examined all 100 combinations of the 10 axial templates and 10 surface templates showing highest predictive power in the source lineage. Each of these 100 combinations was tested by measuring correlation between predicted and observed responses in the independent test lineage. Given two source lineages, this meant a total of 200 candidate models was tested. A significance Selleckchem CHIR99021 threshold of p < 0.05 corrected for 200 comparisons required an actual threshold of p < 0.00025 (Figure S5A). For the models generated from the overall dataset comprising both lineages, we used a two-stage cross validation procedure at a significance threshold of p < 0.005 (Figure S5B). The

higher significance threshold was chosen because the more inclusive model source dataset could generate more accurate GDC-0449 supplier models, and because it is closer to the strict corrected threshold (p < 0.00025) used in the cross-lineage prediction test described above. In the “outer loop” of this procedure, we held out a random 20% of stimuli (from the combined, two-lineage dataset) for final model testing. This was done five times, as is standard in 5-fold, 20% holdout cross-validation. In the “inner loop” of this procedure, we again held out 20%, of the remaining Ketanserin stimuli, for testing the response prediction performance of candidate model templates (which were drawn only from stimuli remaining after both holdouts). This inner loop was also iterated five times (within each iteration of the outer loop). We selected the template with best response prediction

performance on inner loop holdout stimuli, then measured the performance of this template model on the outer loop holdout stimuli. Thus, both model selection and final model testing were based on independent data. The values reported for examples in main text and shown in the Figure S5B distribution are averages across the five outer loop results for each neuron. In applying this procedure to the composite model, each inner loop test of a candidate model required fitting two variables to define the relative weights of the axial, surface, and product terms. Since this fitting was based solely on the inner loop holdout stimuli, the final test on the outer loop holdout stimuli was not subject to overfitting.